\magnification 2200 \parindent 0pt \parskip 13pt \nopagenumbers \hsize 7.5truein \vsize 9.9 truein \hoffset -0.45truein \def\u{\vskip -10pt} \def\w{\vskip -8pt} \input ../../../PAPERS/GOLD/psfig The $ij^{th}$ entry of $P^k$ is the probability that you are in the jth state after exactly $k$ steps given that you started in the ith state. Suppose that $p_i$ is the probability that you start in state $i$. Let $p = (p_1, ..., p_n)$. Then $pP^k = (s_1, ..., s_n)$ where $s_j$ is the probability that you are in the jth state after exactly $k$ steps. {\bf If there are transient states:} If $P = \left(\matrix{I & 0 \cr R & Q}\right)$, then can use $Q^k$ instead of $P^k$. If $Q$ represents transient states, then $lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} Q^n = 0$ If $N = (I - Q)^{-1} = \Sigma_{n=0}^\infty Q^n$, then the $ij^{th}$ entry of $N$ is the expected number of times you are in state $j$ given that you started in state $i$. Hence the expected number of steps before absorption is the sum of the ith row of $(I - Q)^{-1} $ given that you started in state $i$. If $B = NR = (I - Q)^{-1}R$, then $b_{ij}$ is the probability that absorbed in state $j$ given that you started in state $i$. {\bf Ergodic (there are NO transient states):} \w {\it If regular (i.e. $P^k$ is a positive matrix for some $k$):} \w $P^n$ is a positive matrix for all large $n$ ($n \geq k$). \w $lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}P^n = W = \left(\matrix{{\bf w} \cr . \cr . \cr . \cr {\bf w} }\right)$ \w\w $lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}pP^n = {\bf w}$ \w\vskip -3pt ${\bf w}P = {\bf w}$ \w If $E = (I - Z + JZ_{dg})D$, then $e_{ij}$ is the expected number of steps from state $i$ to state $j$ (without going through state $j$ in between, i.e., first time getting to/returning to state $j$). \hskip 1in $ e_{ii} = {1 \over w_i}$ \w Regular if and only if period = 1. {\it If not regular} \w Period $ > 1$ \w Fix $i$: $d$ = Period = gcd$\{ n ~|~ $ there is a path from $u_i$ to $u_i$ of length $n \}$ \w States can be partitioned into $d$ periodic classes, $C_0, ..., C_{d-1}$ such that if you start at a vertex in $C_i$, then after $k$ steps, you are in a vertex in $C_{i + k (mod d)}. \end