Fallacies of Uncertainty

Table of Contents

Fallacies of Uncertainty

Fallacies of Dealing with Uncertainty

Certainty Effect

Availability Heuristic

(availablity heuristic)

Representativeness Heuristic

(representativeness)

People see Streaks in Random Data

PPT Slide

(representativeness)

(Utts got it Wrong)

Gambler's Fallacy

PPT Slide

PPT Slide

(conjunction fallacy)

PPT Slide

(analysis)

Optimism, Overconfidence

Email: george-woodworth@uiowa.edu

Home Page: http://www.stat.uiowa.edu/~gwoodwor/statsoc/lectures/LectureNotes.html